ANALYSING COSTA RICAN AND SPANISH STUDENTS’ COMPARISONS OF PROBABILITIES AND RATIOS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52041/serj.v22i3.659Keywords:
Statistics education research, Comparing, Comparing probabilities, Proportional reasoning, Reasoning levels, Secondary studentsAbstract
We present an exploratory study of Costa Rican and Spanish students’ (11–16-year-olds) competence to compare probabilities in urns and compare ratios in mixture problems. A sample of 704 students in Grades 6 through to Grade 10, 292 from Costa Rica and 412 from Spain, were given one of two forms of a questionnaire with three probability comparison and three ratio comparison problems each. The full questionnaire consisting of both forms covers six different proportional reasoning levels for each type of problem. We analysed the percentages of correct responses to the items and the strategies used by students in each grade and in each country. The results suggest students had the highest difficulty in comparing probabilities for items at the same proportional reasoning level. The results also point to the probabilistic biases in students’ responses, although these biases were less frequent than in previous research.
References
Ben-Chaim, D., Keret, Y., & Ilany, B. S. (2012). Ratio and proportion: Research and teaching in mathematics teachers’ education. Sense Publisher. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-6091-784-4_2
Berrocal, P. F. (1990). Relaciones teórico-empíricas entre los esquemas de proporción, probabilidad y covariación. Revista de Psicología General y Aplicada, 43(3), 331-337.
Bryant, P., & Nunes, T. (2012). Children’s understanding of probability: A literature review. Nuffield Foundation.
Burgos, M., & Godino, J. D. (2020). Modelo ontosemiótico de referencia de la proporcionalidad. Implicaciones para la planificación curricular en primaria y secundaria. Avances de Investigación en Educación Matemática, 18, 1-20. https://doi.org/10.35763/aiem.v0i18.255
Cañizares, M. J., Batanero, C., Serrano, L., & Ortiz, J. J. (1997). Subjective elements in children’s comparison of probabilities. In E. Pehkonen (Ed.), Proceedings of the Conference of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education (vol. 2, pp. 49–56).
Carpenter, T. P., Fennema, E., & Romberg, T. A. (Eds.). (2012). Rational numbers: An integration of research. Routledge.
Falk, R., Falk, R., & Levin, I. (1980). A potential for learning probability in young children. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 11, 181-204. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00304355
Gal, I. (2005). Towards 'probability literacy' for all citizens. In G. Jones (Ed.), Exploring probability in school: Challenges for teaching and learning (pp. 43-71). Springer.
Gal, I., & Geiger, V. (2022). Welcome to the era of vague news: a study of the demands of statistical and mathematical products in the COVID-19 pandemic media. Educational Studies in Mathematics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10649-022-10151-7
Green, D. R. (1982). Probability concepts in school pupils aged 11-16 years. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Loughborough].
Hernández-Solís, L., Batanero, C., Gea, M.M., & Álvarez-Arroyo, R. (2021). Comparación de probabilidades en urnas: Un estudio con niños costarricenses de Educación Primaria. Uniciencia, 35(2), 1-18. http://dx.doi.org/10.15359/ru.35-2.9
Hernández-Solís, L., Gea, M.M., Batanero, C., & Álvarez-Arroyo, R. (2023). Investigación sobre el razonamiento de los niños en la comparación de probabilidades. Boletín de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, in press.
Karplus, R., Pulos, S., & Stage, E. K. (1983). Early adolescents' proportional reasoning on ‘rate’ problems. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 14(3), 219-233. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00410539
Konold, C. (1989). Informal conceptions of probability. Cognition and Instruction, 6, 59- 98. https://doi.org/10.1207/s1532690xci0601_3
Lamon, S. J. (2007). Rational numbers and proportional reasoning: Toward a theoretical framework for research. In F. Lester (Ed.), Second handbook of research on mathematics teaching and learning (V. 1, pp. 629-667). Information Age.
Lecoutre, M. P. & Durand, J. L. (1988). Judgements probabilistes et modèles cognitifs: étude d'une situation aleatoire. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 19, 357- 368. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00312452
Ministerio de Educación Pública. (2012). Programas de Estudio de Matemáticas. I, II Y III Ciclos de la Educación General Básica y Ciclo Diversificado.
Ministerio de Educación y Formación Profesional. (2022a). Real Decreto 157/2022, de 1 de marzo, por el que se establecen la ordenación y las enseñanzas mínimas de la Educación Primaria.
Ministerio de Educación y Formación Profesional. (2022b). Real Decreto 217/2022, de 29 de marzo, por el que se establece la ordenación y las enseñanzas mínimas de la Educación Secundaria Obligatoria.
Muñiz-Rodríguez, L., Rodríguez-Muñiz, L. J., & Alsina, Á. (2020). Deficits in the statistical and probabilistic literacy of citizens: Effects in a world in crisis. Mathematics, 8(11), 1872. https://doi.org/10.3390/math8111872
Nikiforidou, Z. (2018). Probabilistic thinking and young children: theory and pedagogy. In A. Leavy, M. Meletiou-Mavrotheris, & E. Paparistodemou (Eds.), Statistics in early childhood and primary education (pp. 21-34). Springer: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1044-7_3
Noelting, G. (1980a). The development of proportional reasoning and the ratio concept. Part I. Diferentiation of stages. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 11(2), 217-253.
Noelting, G. (1980b). The development of proportional reasoning and the ratio concept. Part II. Problem structure at succesive stages: Problem solving strategies and the mechanism of adaptive restructuring. Educational Studies in mathematics, 11(3), 331-363.
Pérez-Echeverría, M. P., Carretero, M., & Pozo, J. I. (1986). Los adolescentes ante las matemáticas: Proporción y probabilidad. Cuadernos de Pedagogía, 133, 9-13.
Piaget, J., & Inhelder, B. (1951). La genése de l'idée de hasard chez l'enfant. Presses Universitaires de France.
Pratt, D., & Kazak, S. (2018), Research on uncertainty. In D. Ben-Zvi, K. Makar, & J. Garfield (Eds.), International handbook of research in statistics education (pp. 193-227). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-66195-7_6
Resnick, L. B., & Singer, J. A. (1993). Protoquantitative origins of ratio reasoning. In T. P. Carpenter, E. Fennema, & T. A. Romberg (Eds.), Rational numbers: An integration of research (pp. 107–130). Lawrence Erlbaum.
Supply, A. S., Van Dooren, W., Lem, S., & Onghena, P. (2020). Assessing young children’s ability to compare probabilities. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 103(1), 27-42. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10649-019-09917-3
Tourniaire, F., & Pulos, S. (1985). Proportional reasoning: A review of the literature. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 16(2), 181-204. https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00020739
Van Dooren, W., Vamvakoussi, X., Verschaffel, L., Marope, M., Vosniadou, S., Anderson, L., de Ibarrola, M., & Popa, S. (2018). Proportional reasoning. International Academy of Education (IAE).